On-Chain Signals Hint at Bitcoin Surge to $130K–$135K This Summer

As summer 2025 heats up, so does Bitcoin. A growing number of analysts now predict a potential rally pushing Bitcoin to $130,000–$135,000 by late August 2025, based on a combination of bullish on-chain indicators and resilient market sentiment.

What’s Driving the Forecast?

Several key on-chain metrics are flashing green:

  • On-Balance Volume (OBV) continues its upward trajectory, signaling net accumulation among long-term holders.
  • Active addresses and transaction counts have spiked, indicating real network growth.
  • BTC supply on exchanges has hit a 3-year low, reducing potential sell pressure.

“The metrics are aligning in a way we haven’t seen since the 2020 bull run,” says Emma Cho, lead analyst at ChainMetrics. “This isn’t just noise—this is strong demand meeting shrinking supply.”

Institutional Tailwinds

ETF inflows remain robust, with BlackRock and Fidelity leading weekly net positions. The sustained appetite for Bitcoin exposure through regulated instruments has added a layer of confidence among retail and institutional investors alike.

Additionally, rising global inflation concerns and geopolitical tensions have prompted investors to seek safety in decentralized stores of value.

Caution: Short-Term Resistance Still Exists

While the long-term trend looks bullish, some analysts warn of overhead resistance around $110K. A failure to break that level in early July could delay the rally’s full realization until late Q3.

Nonetheless, the broader sentiment remains optimistic.

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Conclusion

With on-chain strength, low exchange balances, and institutional backing, Bitcoin appears poised for a major summer breakout. If the forecasts play out, $130K–$135K could be just the beginning of a longer-term bullish phase.

Do you think this rally will reach new heights—or is the market getting ahead of itself? Share your thoughts in the comments below!


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